Poll finds support for paid family leave tumbles when Americans are presented with costs

The idea of a new a government program for paid leave is overwhelmingly popular among Americans, right up until they are informed about the possible costs.

That’s the conclusion of a new YouGov survey conducted with the libertarian Cato Institute.

According to the poll of 1,700 Americans, a whopping 74 percent support “a new federal program to provide 12 weeks of paid family and medical leave.”

But that support starts to erode as the costs and potential tradeoffs mount. Support drops to 54 percent if respondents were told that the program would cost them $ 200 per year. If it were to cost them $ 1,200 per year, just 43 percent would favor the idea, compared with 56 who would oppose it. The dollar figures represent a range of cost estimates done for the Family and Medical Insurance Leave Act, a leading proposal from some Democrats led by Sen. Kristen Gillibrand of New York, which would be paid for with a new payroll tax.

Furthermore, a number of studies on family leave have found that paid leave policies could hinder women’s abilities to get hired or get promoted to managers, as well as mean that employers simply give fewer raises or make cuts to other benefits. Among possible these and other possible tradeoffs, the survey found regarding paid leave that:

76 percent oppose it if it required government to cut spending for other programs such as Social Security and education
69 percent oppose it if women became less likely to get promoted and become managers
68 percent oppose it if employers reduced benefits people receive, such as health care benefits
62 percent oppose it if people who don’t use the program still had their taxes raised to pay for others’ benefits
60 percent oppose it if one would receive smaller pay raises in the future
57 percent oppose it if it increased the federal deficit